Major League Soccer - New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC - 1x2 New York Red Bulls @ 2.15
Hudson River derby’s latest edition. It’s fair to say the Red Bulls have the wood over their cross town rival, winning their last three contests in all competitions.
A win for either side will see them potentially join Philadelphia Union at top of the table.
Former Celtic man Lewis Morgan has been a revelation for Red Bulls this season, amongst the league top scorers playing on the wing/number 10, and amongst the scorers when these two sides met a just a few weeks ago in the US Open quarter final.
He should feature prominently again.
Serious value for a form home team.
World Matchplay 2022 -
Michael Smith Quarter 4 - Winner @ 3.45
Michael Smith 2022 TV ranking events record reads Runner Up (UK Open), Runner Up (World Championships).
In fact, Smith has reached the final of all 7 of the PDC Major Finals.
And Bully Boy’s 2022 away from the cameras has also been impressive, winning the US Darts Masters at Madison Square Garden (another big stage) in June.
This form has seen him rocket to No.3 in the PDC World Rankings meaning a decent draw with seedings.
We know he can go deep into tournaments; it’s getting over the line that has been the issue.
While these teams have only faced off once before with Movistar Riders winning 2-0 at Katowice in February, both teams look relatively even in form and skill.
Considering this match is a Bo1 format, the map will be a huge factor. This looks very much like a 50/50 contest. With the overtime promo included, Mibr at 1.95 seems like a good price.
Soccer Freaindly - Melbourne Victory Vs. Manchester United - Victory Total Under 0.5 @ 2.43
This match may be a hit and giggle in many respects with Manchester United continuing their world tour as they land in Melbourne.
Following a 4-0 drubbing of Liverpool in Thailand, it's pretty clear that United are keen to impress as they build toward the EPL season.
Despite the fact that we can't expect the sort of stoic defence we'd see in a fixture for points, there's still enough of an incentive for United to hold firm here.
Look at it this way, Melbourne Victory could only put 2 goals away (and both of those came from exquisite finishes) against A-League Champions Western United when fighting for a place in a Grand Final across two ties back in late May.
There's little chance Victory are hard fit given the pre-season break following that loss so even if they do create the odd chance with the potential injection of Nani, it's still hard to see them scoring a goal in this fixture.
UFC Fight Night - Ortega vs Rodriguez - Winner Rodriguez 2.41
The main event of this fight night sees Brian Ortega vs. Yair Rodriguez. Brian Ortega comes into this as favourite, but I think this might be a dangerous fight for him.
Ortega is the no.2 ranked featherweight in the division, sitting 15-2 having only lost to Holloway and Volkanovski, and has the most dangerous submission game in the division.
Having said that I think Rodriguez’s stand up and takedown defense could pose problems.
After not having fought for over 2 years, Yair returned against Holloway and put up a very competitive performance, leaving Holloway swollen and bloodied in one of the fights of 2021.
While he lost I thought he was far more impressive than Ortega vs. Holloway. I think his stand ups better than Ortega and if Ortega can't get this to the ground then I think Yair can win this.
Volleyball - Women Nations League -
Serbia vs. Brazil
Total Points - Under 181.5 @1.85
It’s semi final time in the Womens Nations League and we look at the first matchup between the powerhouse Brazilians against an unlikely Serbian team that gutted an inspiring performance in the quarters to eliminate Team USA.
In line with that upset the odds have Brazil as firm favourites and so do I, with the last 3 (2019, ’21 and ’22) Nations League H2H meetings seeing Brazil take out commanding 3-0 wins.
Expect much of the same as I predict the Serbian ladies will unfortunately pay the tax of a grinding 5 set victory over the Americans.
You can get 3.05 about a Brazil 3:0 win but instead, we’re going to play the unders on the points with an increased stake, giving us some wiggle room if Serbia can steal a set!
Boxing - Ryan Garcia v Javier Fortuna - Winner & Round Range Garcia 7-9 @ 4.90
Boxing was kind to us last weekend with Rey Vargas getting it done over Mark Magsayo via decision much to the delight of followers of this article.
With a lack of high-quality sport events around the world at the moment, we’ll stay in the ring in hope of finding another winner.
Ryan Garcia takes on Javier Fortuna this weekend in Los Angeles in what will be an intriguing lightweight bout.
Garcia has been touted as the next big star of the boxing world for some time and at 23 years of age, is close to hitting those expected heights.
He will face veteran Fortuna in what will be the Dominican’s 44th professional bout.
This is by far Garcia’s toughest test of his fledgling career and a win will firmly put him in the lightweight title picture.
Fortuna is a tough competitor but will struggle to keep up with the pace and power on show from his younger opponent.
We’re backing 'King Ryan' to dominate as the fight goes on and find a finish.
Bundesliga 2 - St Pauli v Nurnberg - Over 2.75 Asian Total @ 1.81
German's second-tier league is back this weekend, and has historically been a competition full of goals and leaky defence.
Both teams will be looking to show off their firepower to kick off their campaigns, and would be looking to make a statement for a potential run for promotion into the Bundesliga.
Historical head-to-heads look like this may be a smart selection. In their last four matches against each other, the over 2.5 has hit three times, and both teams have scored at least once in all of those contests.
At the very least you're looking at a 1/2 win with this line, but can see this ending up 2-2 or 3-2.
3rd ODI - England v India - Total Player Performance -
Moeen Ali Over 31.5 @ 1.84
This series is tightly poised at 1-1 and we've seen two topsy turvy games so far. India won the first by ten wickets and England took the second game with a comprehensive 100 run victory.
The head to head market is a pick 'em contest but one man who is in great form is Moeen Ali.
He top scored with the bat in two of England's recent T20s against India and also led the charge with a score of 47 in the ODI on Thursday.
Moeen is a top class all rounder and he also fields in catching positions, which makes his performance points line look an attractive betting proposition for game three of this series on Sunday.
AFL - North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers - Asian Handicap - North Melbourne +44.5 @ 1.90
North are coming off one of, if not their best performance of the season, despite a disappointing seven point loss to Collingwood at the MCG last Saturday.
The Roos were in charge for most of the game, before a late Magpie surge ran them off their feet.
Now, back at Marvel Stadium and with caretaker coach and former hard-nut midfielder Leigh Adams at the helm, there may be some light at the end of the 2022 tunnel for North.
They will face a Richmond side with more than a few concerns.
A shock loss after the siren to Gold Coast last week was compounded by injuries to Ivan Soldo and Tom Lynch.
The Tigers have made a statement at the team selection table, dropping three small forwards.
They do have the luxury of bringing back premiership players such as former skipper Trent Cotchin, Nick Vlastuin and Noah Balta.
What leans me into taking North Melbourne at the handicap however, is the Tigers poor run of form at Marvel Stadium.
They have a 43% all time record at Marvel, also losing their last three at the venue and the last encounter against North at Marvel back in 2019.
Despite the Kangaroos' shortcomings this season, we expect them to back up their good form from last week, which should be bolstered by the return of prized no.1 draft pick. Jason Horne-Francis.
Richmond do have more to play for with top eight spots not guaranteed, but this should be a much closer contest than what the odds suggest.
F1 British Grand Prix 2022 - 1st Practice Winner - Leclerc, Charles
Equipped with a fresh power unit which saw him take grid penalties in Canada, Charles will be eager to put in some laps and try to test out his new car and this should equate to fast times in first Practice.
Worthy to note he’s set the fastest time on 1st Practice 5 out of 9 times so far this year and on the times that he doesn’t, he usually came in second. I think 2.50 might be too long a price here.
Major League Baseball - Marlins V Phillies - Miami Marlins & Under 6.5 @ 3