Elite Sports Betting Tips: June 10
UEFA - Nations League Denmark vs Croatia Both Teams to Score Yes @ $1.92
Denmark are the form side heading into this match, with two impressive scalps in France and Austria in the past week.
Croatia were battered by Austria, but did at least put in a strong showing against France last game with a very deserved draw.
Denmark will look to make it 3/3 wins and cap off a memorable week, while Croatia will look for a result to lift them from the bottom of the group.
We’ll back in both teams to go out and try and get a result. 2 units
Saracens FC - Harlequin FC - English Premiership - Harlequin FC (5.5) - Asian Handicap
Second plays third from the regular season table in the first of the play off semi-finals this weekend.
This is Saracens’ first season back in the top flight after their salary cap misdemeanours. They are not quite the team they used to be, minus Barritt, Skelton amongst experienced players but still a formidable team packed with internationals and with lots of young talent that was blooded out on loan during Saracens exile into the Championship.
Harlequins won last year’s play-offs and also have lots of firepower, playing off the Danny Care/Marcus Smith axis. The battle between Smith and Owen Farrell, recently returned from the injury that caused him to miss the Six Nations will obviously be key.
This should be a very close game and Saracens at home are favoured by a score in the handicap markets. I like Harlequins to keep it closer than the 7.5 point spread here given their attacking and scoring potential. 1 unit
CSGO- Pinnacle Cup Championship BIG vs Astralis Total Maps: over 2.5 @ 1.90
An interesting matchup here with both teams fighting for a spot in the Grand Final. BIG seem to have the better form, having won 5 of their past 6 matches against top teams.
While Astralis have seemed to struggle, recently losing to G2, Vitality and Liquid. Looking at past matchups between these two sides, BIG have the upper hand, having won 2 of the 3 past matches 2-0, with the 2nd map in both matches being very close.
Their most recent match saw an Astralis victory in the 3rd map. It seems quite likely that we will see a close 2nd map this time round, and probably a 3rd. Taking over 2.5 maps @ 1.90. 1 Unit
UFC 275 Weili Zhang Vs Joanna Jedrzejczsk to win @ $2.47
Strap yourselves in punters because we have a rematch of the consensus best Woman's MMA fight in history coming our way this Sunday live from Singapore.
Weil I Zhang got the nod on the judges scorecards in their first bout but it was a mega close fight.
Joanna has taken some time away from the octagon since that brawl in March 2020 and expect her to be fresh for this assignment.
Based on their first fight this looks a great bet as we should at the very least get a competitive contest. 1 unit
UFC 275 - Jack Maddalena Vs. Ramazan Emeev - Winner Jack Maddalena @ 1.65
The first UFC PPV ever held in Singapore sees upcoming Aussie, Jack Maddalena make it to the main card, in a fight against Ramazan Emeev.
I see big things coming in the future for this guy, and believe he wins here and moves onto better things later on in the year. The 1.65 on offer is big value in my opinion. 1.5 units
UEFA Nations League Wales - Belgium 1x2 & Total Belgium & Over @ 1.5
In recent years, Belgium has become an elite soccer nation, with players such as De Bruyne, Lukaku, the Hazard brothers, Witsel and company having developed into World Class players.However, many of these have dropped in form and have failed to perform for Belgium.
Nevertheless, Belgium can be one of the top soccer nations when they find their rhythm and chemistry, which is shown as they were recently thumped by the Netherlands but bounced back against Poland.
Wales here have lost 2/2 matches so far, which may be a result of their WC qualifying effort leaving little in their tank.
Although they have some key players in their squad, player for player they fall short to Belgium, who will be looking at making at statement this match ensuring they perform to their potential.
Belgium to win here with a potential thumping. 1 unit
NBA - Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Total - Under 214.5 @ 1.9
We angle towards 1 of 2 scenarios here in Game 4 of the NBA Finals:
A flipped Game 2 script, where the Celtics blowout the Dubs after a rollercoaster first home game.
The high pressure of the match that holds the balance of the series results in your textbook playoff basketball script - more caution in approach, high energy on defensive possessions and overall less possessions throughout the game.
Both these projections lean towards a game that should very well go under the 214.5 mark. It’s what we saw in Game 2, and if there was 1-2 fewer made shots in Game 3, the under would’ve cashed then too. 3 units
NRL - Brisbane Broncos v Gold Coast Titans - 1x2 Gold Coast @ 2.95
It’s the South Queensland Derby as high flying Brisbane Broncos host the Gold Coast Titans in Friday Night Football.
The Titans are considered ‘little brother’ in this rivalry but they actually have the better record recently in this fixture, winning three of the last four.
The Broncos are in seriously good form winning five games on the bounce and on the doorstep of the top four, they’ll once again be missing halfback Adam Renoylds for this one.
Reynolds has been the architect for Brisbane’s revival and while they won without him last weekend, it was against the lowly Newcastle Knights.
On top of that, drama has hit the Broncos camp during the week with star forward Payne Hass requesting an immediate release from his contract.
Gold Coast’s form hardly inspires confidence but given the troubles hitting the Broncos right now and the Titans’ history in this fixture, we’ll back little brother to get one over big brother here. 2 units
CFL Week 1 - Ottawa Redblacks v Winnipeg Blue Bombers - Ottawa Redblacks +9.5 handicap @ 1.90
Not much to explain with this selection.
The CFL starts this weekend, and the all-conquering Blue Bombers are looking to win their third straight Grey Cup and kick their season off in style against an Ottawa outfit looking to catch the reigning champs off guard.
This game's line of 9.5 is by far the largest of the weekend's slate, with hints that it could potentially jump past the 10.5-mark before kick-off.
This tip is purely a situational spot, as Winnipeg may be overvalued in week 1 and could show signs of offensive rust before settling into their campaign.
On the other side the Redblacks had a very busy off-season, led by the acquisition of veteran quarterback Jeremiah Masoli which would help their offensive side while managing to keep a defensive core that was quite successful in 2021.
If you want to be safe, either buy the extra point or wait just before kick-off hoping to get the 10.5 line at a pickem price. Can see this game finishing Winnipeg's way, but only by within a touchdown. 2 units
England v New Zealand - 2nd Test Match Jonny Bairstow Total First Innings Runs Under 26.5 @ 1.85
Quite frankly this line is staggering. It was tempting to back New Zealand in this match given the dominant position they found themselves in during the first game, however, individual brilliance from Joe Root swung the game in England's favour.
The Kiwis will improve for that game though and Trent Bridge is a famously happy hunting ground for seam bowlers, of which the tourists have an abundance of. With that in mind and Jonny Bairstow's two poor dismissals to pace bowling, for 1 and 16, at Lords fresh in the memory, this is a really eye catching bet.
Bairstow made two great centuries over the winter in Australia and West Indies, but they were on batter friendly pitches, and his technique doesn't seem best suited to test match conditions at home.
The market suggests the Yorkshireman is England's third best batting hope but his form would suggest otherwise and the New Zealand attack can make him toil again in Nottingham. 1 unit
AFL - Richmond vs Carlton - Winner - Carlton @ 1.95
While this bet is being taken with Carlton still having a game in between, there is no way that this price holds at 1.95.
Carlton play tonight against an Essendon team that they will beat fairly comfortably, which will see this price come in a little further.
There is a fair bit that separates these two sides, with Carlton already beating Richmond once this year.
I cannot believe they are outsiders, looking at form, who each team has beaten, as well as the two sides on paper head to head. Carlton are the better team. 2 units
Essendon vs Carlton - Asian Total - Under 163.5 @ 1.91
The Bombers and the Blues is one of the AFL's most celebrated rivalries and the two sides always cut it close, despite what ladder positions may say.
Essendon will go into this one as a major underdog, following their dismal start to the season which leaves them well out of the finals race. Carlton have been the complete opposite thus far this season, managing to break the chains and find themselves in the race for not just finals, but top four and a double chance.
Although a loss to Collingwood before their bye would have stung, the return of spearhead forward Harry McKay and key defender Caleb Marchbank will hold the Blues in good stead for tonight's blockbuster.
But their short odds of 1.37 aren't enticing enough for us, so we'll look to some recent results between the two sides to find some more value. Excluding last year's shootout in round seven, five of the last seven encounters between the two have gone under the line for this match (set at 163.5).
The return of McKay, who will once again be working in tandem with fellow star forward Charlie Curnow, would usually lean you into backing the overs in a big Carlton win. But there is a lot of rain expected in Melbourne tonight, meaning the key forwards will struggle to take control of the game like they have done until this point.
Essendon are also fielding two key forwards as well as a returning Jake Stringer, back from a long-term hamstring issue.
The Bombers have only scored above 80 once since Round 7, which was in their shock win against Hawthorn under the roof of Marvel Stadium. So without much influence from their key talls, goals may be hard to come by. Expect Carlton to scrap out a low-scoring win and derail any confidence the Bombers may have built up following from their much-needed bye last week. 1 unit
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Winner (incl. Extra Innings) - Minnesota Twins @ 1.94
We're not too sure what's going on with this price at Stake HQ. The Twins are top of the Central Division in the American League with a .569 record - they're also excellent at home, going 18-12 so far on the season at Target Field.
They host the Rays here, who are a great team in their own right (.596 record), but who hold an away record of just 13-10 this year.Both teams have played the day prior to this matchup - with the Twins currently on top of the Yankees 7-5 at the time of writing.
The expected starting pitcher for the Rays, Drew Rasmussen, last started an away game on 31 May against Texas - giving up 5 runs in 3 innings pitched before being dragged from the mound. We're going to back the Twins to come out strong at home against a pitcher that was recently smacked around the park in his last away outing. 1 unit.
F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Azerbaijan Grand Prix Qualifying - Winner - Leclerc, Charles @ 2.00
Yes Charles Leclerc hasn’t had the best of luck when it comes to race results but it was mostly due to botched strategies and DNFs.
When it comes to outright pace, the Ferrari still reigns supreme. If you also look at last year’s qualifying in Baku, Leclerc won pole position with an uncompetitive Ferrari SF21.
Now that he has the machinery and the skills to dominate a track with a subpar car, I see him taking pole position easily this weekend. 1.5 unit
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