Tour de France 2025 Picks & Predictions

Tour de France 2025 Betting Picks, Odds & Favourites to Win
The Tour de France is the ultimate road cycling race and a true test of endurance. Legends like Greg LeMond, Chris Froome, and Eddy Merckx have made their names as yellow jersey holders in the past. But who will emerge victorious in 2025?
Join us at Stake Sportsbook as we'll keep you updated with the latest cycling news, 2025 Tour de France betting odds, and introduce some of the most likely yellow jersey winners to help you form your Tour de France betting slip.
What is The Tour de France?
The Tour de France is a multi-stage cycling race held in France and nearby countries each year. It’s the oldest and most prestigious of the three Grand Tours, which include the Giro d’Italia and the Vuelta a España.
20 to 23 teams of 8 riders compete in the event, with stages timed. The time each rider takes to complete a stage is compounded, and the rider with the lowest cumulative time is the leader of the race and will wear the famous yellow jersey.
The general classification is the primary contest within the Tour de France, but riders can also win the green jersey for sprint sections and the polka dot jersey for mountain climb sections. There’s also the white jersey, which is available to riders under the age of 26, and the team classification is awarded to teams based on the first three finishers from each team on each stage. The golden jersey is awarded to the most aggressive rider of the previous stage, which is chosen by a jury.
Tour de France History & Past Winners
The race was originally organised in 1903 to drive sales of the newspaper L’Auto, which became L’Equipe, one of France’s most prominent sports newspapers. The very first Tour de France was planned as a 5-stage race starting in Paris and passing through Lyon, Marseille, Bordeaux, and Nantes. However, a lack of entrants due to its difficulty meant the organisers had to make the course simpler while also reducing the entry fee and increasing the first prize to 12,000 francs. This was around 6 times the average annual salary.
Between 60 and 80 people entered the first race in 1903, although many riders dropped out after the first stage. By the end of the 4th stage, only 24 competitors remained. The eventual winner, Maurice Garin, finished almost 65 hours ahead of the last rider.
Since then, the Tour de France has been held every year, except for periods during the First and Second World Wars. As the Tour became more popular, the course was updated to make it tougher.
Today, the Tour de France consists of 21 day-long stages over a 23 or 24-day period, which covers around 3,500 kilometres. The exact route changes each year, but typically passes through the mountain chains of the Pyrenees and the Alps.
French riders have won the Tour the most, with 21 cyclists winning 36 times, while Belgian riders have 18 wins, and Spanish riders have 12.
Riders with the most Tour de France wins include:
Jacques Anquetil (1957, 1961, 1962, 1963 and 1964)
Eddy Merckx (1969, 1970, 1971, 1972 and 1974)
Bernard Hinault (1978, 1979, 1981, 1982 and 1985)
Miguel Indurain (1991, 1992, 1993, 1994 and 1995)
Chris Froome (2013, 2015, 2016 and 2017)
The winner of the 2024 Tour de France was Tadej Pogačar, marking his third victory in the race. Biniam Girmay won the points classification, Richard Carapaz won the mountains classification and the combativity classification, while Remco Evenepoel won the youth classification. UAE Team Emirates won the team classification at the 2024 Tour de France.
When & Where is the Tour de France 2025?
The 2025 Tour de France will take place between 5 July and 27 July. There are 21 stages, covering a range of terrain types, and 2 rest days. In total, riders will cover 3,338.8 km, with the final stage including laps of a circuit inspired by the road races at the Paris 2024 Olympics.
Tour de France 2025 Schedule
This year’s race begins in Lille, with the final stage ending at the Champs-Élysées, Paris. Here’s the full schedule for the 2025 Tour de France:
Stage & Date | Start > Finish | Type |
---|---|---|
1: 5 July | Lille > Lille | Flat |
2: 6 July | Lauwin-Planque > Boulogne-sur-Mer | Hilly |
3: 7 July | Valenciennes > Dunkirk | Flat |
4: 8 July | Amiens > Rouen | Hilly |
5: 9 July | Caen > Caen | Individual time trial |
6: 10 July | Bayeux > Vire Normandie | Hilly |
7: 11 July | Saint-Malo > Guerlédan (Mûr-de-Bretagne) | Hilly |
8: 12 July | Saint-Méen-le-Grand > Laval | Flat |
9: 13 July | Chinon > Châteauroux | Flat |
10: 14 July | Ennezat > Mont-Dore | Mountain |
Rest: 15 July | Toulouse | Rest day |
11: 16 July | Toulouse > Toulouse | Flat |
12: 17 July | Auch > Hautacam | Mountain |
13: 18 July | Loudenvielle > Peyragudes | Mountain time trial |
14: 19 July | Pau > Superbagnères | Mountain |
15: 20 July | Muret > Carcassonne | Hilly |
Rest: 21 July | Montpellier | Rest day |
16: 22 July | Montpellier > Mont Ventoux | Mountain |
17: 23 July | Bollène > Valence | Flat |
18: 24 July | Vif > Courchevel (Col de la Loze) | Mountain |
19: 25 July | Albertville > La Plagne | Mountain |
20: 26 July | Nantua > Pontarlier | Hilly |
21: 27 July | Mantes-la-Ville > Paris (Champs-Élysées) | Flat |
Tour de France 2025 Startlist
Below are each of the teams in the 2025 Tour de France, including some of their top riders:
Alpecin–Deceuninck - Mathieu Van der Poel, Jasper Philipsen
Arkéa–B&B Hotels - Raul Pierna García, Arnaud Démare
Cofidis - Alex Aranburu, Ion Izagirre
Decathlon–AG2R La Mondiale - Felix Gall, Oliver Naesen
EF Education–EasyPost - Harry Sweeny, Neilson Powless
Groupama–FDJ - Guillaume Martin, Valentin Madouas
Ineos Grenadiers - Michal Kiwiatkowski, Carlos Rodríguez
Intermarché–Wanty - Biniam Girmay, Hugo Page
Lidl–Trek - Jonathan Milan, Mattias Skjelmose
Movistar Team - Pablo Castrillo, Enric Mas
Red Bull–Bora–Hansgrohe - Primož Roglič, Florian Lipowitz
Soudal–Quick-Step - Remco Evenepoel, Mattia Cattaneo
Team Bahrain Victorious - Lenny Martinez, Santiago Buitrago
Team Picnic PostNL - Oscar Onley, Frank van den Broek
Team Jayco–AlUla - Ben O’Connor, Luke Plapp
UAE Team Emirates XRG - Tadej Pogačar, João Almeida
Visma–Lease a Bike - Jonas Vingegaard, Edoardo Affini
XDS Astana Team - Simone Velasco, Harold Tejada
Israel–Premier Tech - Pascal Ackermann, Joseph Blackmore
Lotto - Arnaud de Lie. Lennert van Eetvelt
Team TotalEnergies - Matthieu Burgaudeau, Emilien Jeannière
Tudor Pro Cycling Team - Julian Alaphilippe, Matteo Trentin
Uno-X Mobility - Magnus Cort, Søren Wærenskjold
Tour de France 2025 Predictions
The 2025 Tour de France is almost ready to get underway, and already there are several clear favourites to win according to the sportsbooks. The big favourites to win the 2025 Tour matches the podium from last year’s race. Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates-XRG), Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike), and Remco Evenepoel (Soudal-QuckStep) are ranked as 1st, 2nd, and 3rd favourites respectively.
Pogačar and Vingegaard have won the last 5 Tours between them, and most experts believe that it will be one of these two who will win once again this year. However, Evenpoel could upset the odds and improve on his performance from 2024.
Favourites & Picks to Win
Tadej Pogačar - As the defending champion, Pogačar is currently the top favourite to win the 2025 Tour, and his performances at other cycling races this year, including at the Critérium du Dauphiné, show that he’s more than capable. Another Tour de France win would put him level with Chris Froome for the most Tour GC wins of all time.
Jonas Vingegaard - As the winner of the 2022 and 2023 Tours, Vingegaard is Pogačar’s biggest rival. Last year, he finished in second place, but he was still on the mend from a serious injury, and he could be back to his best this summer. He could certainly close this gap this year, especially with help from his Visma-Lease a Bike teammates.
Remco Evenepoel - Evenepoel finished third in his debut Tour in 2024 while also winning the young rider classification. He excels in the time trial, but his performances over mountain stages have been his biggest weakness in recent races. Still, he has the potential to upset the two front-runners if he can continue to improve.
How to Bet on the Tour de France?
There are lots of different types of bets on UCI Tour events at Stake. You can bet on the cyclist you think will win the yellow jersey at this year’s Tour de France by placing an outright wager. It’s also possible to bet on any of the classifications for the Tour de France. For example, you can bet on which rider under 25 you think will win the youth classification.
There are also head-to-head bets. With these types of bets, you can wager on an individual head-to-head on points, where you're betting on who will come out on top between two riders.
No matter the wager you wish to place, you must create an account at Stake.com to bet. Sign-up takes less than a minute, and you can read our cycling betting guide, then follow these steps to bet:
Check your current balance and use the deposit option to add funds.
Choose any of the supported local currencies and payment methods.
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Choose from BTC, ETH, USDT, EOS, DOGE, LTC, TRX, and SOL, and more. Use Mesh to deposit from a supported exchange or wallet, or add funds with MoonPay or Swapped.com .
Store your funds safely in the Stake vault before searching for the Tour de France or looking for Cycling > International> UCI ProTour > Tour de France.
Select any of the available markets.
Enter your stake in the bet slip, check your payout, and confirm.
Watch Cycling Live & Free Online
Stake.com is the best place to watch cycling events live. Log in to your account and check for upcoming cycling events; provided you have funds available, you can live stream the action.
This presents a brilliant opportunity to place live bets on the cycling as it unfolds, allowing you to bet on every flat stage, hilly stage, and mountain stage throughout the any cycling event. Pre-live and in-play betting options are available throughout the race, and you can make the most of the free live streams to make informed betting decisions.
Cycling Betting Odds, Payouts & Promotions
You can bet on all cycling at Stake Sportsbook, with an extensive selection of markets and brilliant odds available as elite cyclists climb through central Europe’s mountain ranges.
Stake offers great odds on all the cycling action throughout the Tour de France. You can bet on the eventual winners or stage winners throughout the race. Get the best betting odds to win the biggest payouts. Remember, you can switch between decimal, fractional and American odds to make it easier to calculate your potential payouts. You can also use our latest promotions to fund your Tour de France 2025 wagers.
Cycling Betting Tips, Predictions & Strategies
Study form and specialities - Check out the recent form of riders at World Championships and races such as the Critérium du Dauphiné and Tour de Suisse for an idea of how they might perform at the Tour de France. Consider their strengths and weaknesses, such as whether they excel at climbing or in time trial stages.
Bet on stage races - While it’s fun to bet on the eventual winner, you should also consider betting on specific stages of the race, as well as other classifications. Consider the specialties of riders when looking at the stage winners, as some will excel in certain stages over others.
Look at team tactics - While you’re usually betting on individual riders, it’s important to remember that cycling is a team-based sport. Some riders have a specific role in the team, with domestiques supporting leaders. The top teams usually dictate the race tempo.
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