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UFC Picks & Expert UFC Predictions

Stake - 12 de junio de 2025
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UFC Picks & Expert UFC Predictions

Stake Sportsbook is one of the top platforms for UFC betting, as well as all types of sports betting. However, there is a lot that fight fans need to know about UFC odds and MMA betting, especially when there’s a big event like UFC 317 on the horizon. Therefore, we thought it was a good idea to put together a betting guide specific to UFC 317, with our expert picks on the upcoming event.

UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira Picks - UFC Predictions & MMA Betting Odds

UFC 317 will see Ilia Topuria moving up to the lightweight division after relinquishing his featherweight title as he fights the former champ, Charles Oliveira, for the vacant lightweight belt. Meanwhile, Alexandre Pantoja will look to defend his flyweight belt against challenger Kai Kara-France in the co-main event. You can read about Pantoja’s comments about his upcoming fight in our exclusive UFC 317 interview!

The full event, including the main card and prelims, will be available to bet on right here at Stake Sportsbook, and you can watch the action live thanks to our free live streams.

When & Where is UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira?

UFC 317 is scheduled for June 28 and will take place at the T-Mobile Arena in Nevada, United States.

UFC 317 Fight Card Picks & Odds

Main Card

  • Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira - Topuria by KO/TKO

  • Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Kara-France - Pantoja by submission

  • Paulo Costa vs Roman Kopylov - Kopylov by KO/TKO

  • Jhonta Diniz vs Justin Tafa - Diniz by decision

  • Beneil Dairush vs Renato Moicano - Moicano by decision

Preliminary Card

  • Viviana Araujo vs Tracy Cortez - Cortez by decision

  • Jack Hermansson vs Gregory Rodrigues - Hermansson by decision

  • Brandon Royval vs Joshua Van - Royval by KO/TKO

Early Prelims

  • Terrance McKinney vs Viacheslav Borshchev - McKinney by KO/TKO

  • Hyder Amil vs Jose Delgado - Amil by decision

Previous Fights & Fighter History

Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira

When Topuria announced his ambitions to capture the lightweight title, most expected him to face Islam Makhachev for the belt. However, the lightweight champion has also vacated and moved up a weight class, leaving Topuria facing Oliveira for the vacant belt. Topuria is an undefeated fighter, with a 16-0 record, and ended his time at featherweight by KOing Volkanovski and Holloway back to back. His excellent boxing and knockout power make him a major threat, and combined with strong grappling, he’s very difficult to stop. The former featherweight champion is the current betting favorite.

Oliveira is a veteran of the UFC, with a 23-10-1 record in the promotion and a 35-10 professional record. An impressive 70% of his UFC wins have come through submission, while only 5 of his 33 UFC fights have ended in a decision. Although he hasn’t suffered a KO/TKO loss since 2017, he has been hurt badly from strikes in recent fights. His recovery is excellent, but Topuria may be too powerful for him in this lightweight title fight.

Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Kara-France

Since he won the flyweight belt from Brandon Moreno in 2023, Pantoja has defended it an impressive 3 times, and is now on a 7-fight win streak through the top of the flyweight division. This run also includes 3 submission wins. His professional record is now 29-5, with 13 wins and 3 losses in the UFC. One of the most impressive stats about Pantoja is that he’s never been finished in his professional career.

Kai Kara-France is one of the City Kickboxing fighters, sharing a gym with former middleweight champion Israel Adesanya. In the UFC, he has 8 wins and 4 losses, and his professional record now stands at 25-11. He has previously lost to the top opponents in the flyweight division, including Brandon Moreno and Brandon Royval, but earned his title shot with a first-round KO over Steve Erceg. However, the odds don’t favor the title challenger, and we’re predicting Pantoja to make another title defense by submitting his opponent.

Paulo Costa vs Roman Kopylov

Until 2019, Costa was undefeated in professional MMA, with 5 wins out of 5 in the UFC, including 4 KO/TKO wins. However, since he was beaten by Israel Adesanya in their title fight, he has won 1 out of 4 fights, losing to Marvin Vettori, Robert Whittaker and Sean Strickland while beating a retiring Luke Rockhold. He’s now 6-4 in the UFC, and injury issues have prevented him from being active.

Aside from a loss to Anthony Hernandez, Kopylov has looked excellent in his recent fights, winning 6 out of 7, including 5 KO/TKO wins. His striking has improved significantly, and the last time he stepped into the octagon, he finished Chris Curtis with a headkick. He’s the betting favorite in this matchup, mainly due to his recent form. 83% of Koyplov’s UFC wins have been by KO/TKO, and although Costa has only suffered 1 KO/TKO loss in his career, he could get stopped here.

Types of UFC Bets & How to Bet on UFC & MMA

Once you’ve made your picks, it’s easy to bet on UFC fights at Stake. All you have to do is log into your account and follow the steps below:

  1. Log into your Stake account and check your available balance in the wallet.

  2. If you need to, you can use any accepted payment method and local currency to add funds to your account.

  3. Alternatively, use any of our supported cryptocurrencies, such as BTC , ETH , USDT , EOS , DOGE , LTC , TRX , and SOL , or a service like MoonPay or Swapped.com , then store your coins in the vault for safety.

  4. Search for the UFC to see the upcoming events.

  5. Read through our betting picks blog and check out the latest sports betting tips.

  6. Select a fight to see the available fight lines and odds.

  7. Choose a betting market to add to your bet slip and then enter your stake.

  8. Confirm your bet to place and watch the fight live.

If you’re totally new to betting, you may want to check out our guide to MMA betting or our complete sports betting guide. You can also make use of our help center to find answers to any questions you might have. Of course, our customer support team is always available to assist if you need it.

There are lots of ways to bet on MMA at Stake. Here are some of the most popular MMA betting markets:

  • Winner

  • 1x2 or Match Winner

  • Total rounds

  • Will the fight go the distance?

  • Winning method

  • Winning method (double chance)

  • Winner & exact rounds

Be sure to follow our Stake Smart guidelines to bet responsibly while enjoying the fights at Stake.

Bet on MMA with Best Odds & UFC Betting Promotions

Stake is the best place to get great odds and fantastic sports betting promotions . You can make the most of our split decision promo when betting on the UFC, and joining Stake also means you’ll join our VIP Club. This exclusive club lets you earn rewards by leveling up your account. The more you bet, the more you’ll benefit from regular rakeback and reload bonuses , and it’s even possible to unlock your own VIP host . Find out more on our VIP FAQ page.

Watch UFC Live & Free on Stake.com!

All UFC events, including UFC Fight Nights like UFC Fight Night Lewis vs Teixeira and Whittaker vs de Ridder, as well as PPVs like UFC 318, are available to bet on. Pre-fight and live betting markets are available on all fights, and not only that, but you can stream the fights live for free. As proud sponsors of the UFC , we offer high-definition streams of every event, so you never have to miss out on all the memorable moments inside the octagon on fight night. Make sure you follow our Stake Smart guidelines to bet responsibly while enjoying the fights.

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