NFL 2022 Weekly Preview: Week 11
Welcome to our Weekly Preview.
Pop out that $400 bottle of wine from Kevin who works in Finance as we finally did it!
We hit our 25-1 Multi last week sweeping the board and moving our overall record up to 60 percent (27-18).
While we are very happy with our success, we are always looking to improve.
While we are killing it in the NFL this year (19-8) with a 70 percent winning percentage, our college plays have been quite lackluster at 8-10.
We expect to sweep our two college plays this week and possibly hit back to back multis if things fall in place.
If this is your first time reading our Weekly Preview, we have a winner for each of the 5 days of football.
This covers the NFL Thursday Night Football, a Friday college football game, a Saturday college football game, a Sunday NFL game and finally the Monday Night Football game to end the week!
With that said, let’s get into the winners for the week!
NFL – Tennessee Titans @ Green Bay Packers
We are blessed to get a good game on Thursday Night this week with the Tennessee Titans (6-3) heading into chilly Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (4-6).
While the Titans are red hot winning six out of their last seven games, we believe they will cool off on Primetime against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.
The Packers have a ton of momentum on their side themselves, coming back from a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter and beating the Dallas Cowboys in overtime.
With the Philadelphia Eagles up next on the road for the Packers, they simply cannot afford to lose at home against a very banged up Titans squad.
The Packers, believe it or not, are only one game behind for the last Playoff spot.
On the other hand, the Titans have a comfortable 2 game lead in their division and can afford a slip up here.
While Derrick Henry will be a force to be reckoned with, we believe that the Packers will take a few notes from the Broncos defence which limited him to 53 yards last week.
It’s never a smart bet to go against Aaron Rodgers in Primetime in November, so we will definitely lay the 3 points in a must win situation for them.
We believe that the Packers will get hot now after snapping their 5 game losing streak and will win by double digits against this depleted Titans team.
Lay the points and feel quite comfortable backing Aaron Rodgers and the Packers on Thursday night!
Selection: Green Bay Packers -3 @ 1.79
College Football – San Diego State Aztecs @ New Mexico Lobos
We have a very slim card for Friday Night so we will focus our attention on the Mountain West Conference.
The San Diego State Aztecs roll into New Mexico with a 6-4 record.
While we never like to lay points on the road on Friday Nights, we can’t see how the Lobos (2-8) will be able to keep this game close.
New Mexico has a ton of trouble scoring points.
Since their first game against Howard where they scored 41 points, the most points the Lobos have scored in any game was 27.
In their last four games, they have scored a total of 31 points losing 21-9, 41-9, 27-10 and 35-3.
They are one of the worst teams in college football and are facing a great defensive team in San Diego State which allows 21.9 points per game.
The Aztecs have turned their season around winning 4 of their last 5 with Jalen Mayden as their quarterback.
He’s a dual threat quarterback and has played well in all of his games that he started.
The Aztecs would need to have another five turnover game like they did against Fresno State to have any chance of not covering this game.
We believe this won’t happen, and the Aztecs will dominate this game from start to finish.
Lay the 14 points and expect this to be a huge beat down in New Mexico on Friday Night.
Selection: San Diego State Aztecs -14 @ 1.84
College Football - Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
We are focusing our attention on an under the radar game in the Big 10 for Saturday.
The 6-4 Iowa Hawkeyes head into Minnesota to take on the 7-3 Golden Gophers which has major Big 10 Championship implementations.
While the East division of the Big 10 is loaded, the West division is wide open with four teams standing at a 4-3 conference record.
Both the Hawkeyes and Golden Gophers are 4-3 in conference which makes this a major matchup.
Both of these teams are red hot winning their last three games, but we expect the Minnesota offense to be the key difference in this game.
Minnesota averages 30.6 points per game compared to 17.9 for Iowa. Their defense gives up 13.1 points per game compared to 13.9 for Iowa.
Their offense averages 403.7 yards per game while Iowa only averages 251.1.
Throw in the fact that Minnesota has not beaten Iowa since 2014, and we believe we have a gem on our hand.
It’s Minnesota’s Senior Day and their last home game of the season.
Minnesota’s head coach PJ Fleck has talked about the importance of this game, and he would definitely like to snap his 0-5 record against Iowa.
With all the angles pointing to Minnesota here, we believe this is the best game on the card for Saturday.
Expect the Iowa’s offense to struggle throughout the game while the Golden Gophers make a few explosive plays on offense to not only win but cover the spread.
Selection: Minnesota Golden Gophers -2.5 @ 1.85
NFL – Detroit Lions @ New York Giants
When we were looking over the lines for this upcoming NFL weekend, we were dumbfounded when we saw this spread.
How in the world are the 7-2 Giants who are 4-1 at home only three point favourites against the 3-6 Detroit Lions?
We would think the spread would be like this if this game was played in Detroit, but backing a Lions squad on the road and only getting three points sounds absurd.
Well, call us crazy, because we are backing the Lions here.
If you look closer at the Lions season, you will find that seven of their nine games were extremely close.
They lost 38-35 to Philly, 28-24 in Minnesota, 48-45 to Seattle and 31-27 to the Dolphins.
If even two of those games swung in their favour, they would be 5-5 and fighting for the last Playoff spot in the NFC.
Instead, they are 3-6 and are not getting any respect from anyone other than the oddsmakers this week.
The Lions defence has forced a turnover in their last eight games so expect Daniel Jones to make a few key mistakes on Sunday.
Momentum is on the Lions side after rallying from 14 down in the fourth quarter to beat Chicago last week.
Out of all the odd lines we see throughout the years, this may be the oddest.
We believe that the Lions have enough firepower to not only cover the 3 point spread but to win outright.
Take the 3-6 Lions and expect them to pull the upset against the 7-2 Giants this weekend!
Selection: Detroit Lions +3 @ 1.94
NFL – San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals
Welcome to Monday Night Football in Mexico City.
The 5-4 San Francisco 49ers head into Mexico on a two game winning streak to take on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals.
While this is a divisional game in November, we are not worried about laying over a touchdown with the 49ers here.
The 49ers defense should be able to wreak havoc on the Cardinals offensive line and force Kyler Murray into making some terrible decisions.
Offensively, the 49ers should be able to move the ball at will against a Cardinals defence that allows 372 yards per game.
The 49ers cannot afford to slip up here as they are currently in the last spot for the Playoffs.
Jimmy G played well last week on Primetime and we expect him to continue playing well this week.
As we have joked about all year with Kyler Murray, he plays terribly when Call of Duty launches.
The new Warzone 2.0 was released on Wednesday, and we expect him to not be completely focused for this game.
Even if he didn’t take his gaming system down to Mexico, we can’t see the Cardinals being competitive in this game.
Lay the 8 points and expect a double digit victory on Monday Night Football!
Selection: San Francisco 49ers -8 @ 1.90
We are hoping that we can hit back to back multis which would be an incredible feat.
This week our multi pays 22.5/1.
We are currently on a 6 game winning streak so we believe anything can happen!
Best of luck and enjoy this wonderful week of football!